Thanks, that's a good and well-reasoned paper. Here is a couple messages from the log that jumped out:Oddly enough, Rosecrans received numerous reports about a movement of Virginia forces to Atlanta. You will be surprised at the wide variety of sources. The Army of the Cumberland's intel gathering was very comprehensive. Now you can read the reports for yourself.
This is a link to an Army Command & General Staff College thesis paper:
Intelligence Operations of the Army of the Cumberland During the Tullahoma & Chickamauga Campaigns. It includes Rosecrans' intelligence log.
Link:
Let me know what you think.
On the 4th of September, both Rosecrans and McCook speculated about confederate reinforcements from the east. I wonder if this was based on what Dodge sent. Dodge didn't say when he sent intel about Lee sending reinforcements. So maybe it was on the 4th.
But by the 8th until the 12th of September, Rosecrans was convinced that Bragg was on the run with an army that had been diminished by desertions. It's ironic that a certain other union general so often severely over-estimated enemy numbers and thought he was facing 200,000 confederates, while Rosecrans in this situation severely under-estimated and thought he was facing only 20,000 confederates.