If any of the calculations of Mac's apologists on this thread, are anywhere near correct, it indicates to me that McClellan's entire Peninsula Campaign was misbegotten, from the very first.
Well, as compared to what? The Army of the Potomac, if operating in force, couldn't operate down the Orange and Alexandria Railroad at the time, as the O&A didn't have the capacity to handle the requisite loads. The Army of Virginia, in the Summer of '62, was, of course, far smaller than the Army of the Potomac which was deployed to the Peninsula.
This was still the situation as the Army moved south at the end of October and in November from Antietam Creek. This was well-known in the High Command, hence McClellan, had had to formulate the move to the RF&P prior to being relieved of command. That move would then be orchestrated under Burnside's command.
You only need to read Herman Haupt's Reports on this. The Army, in November, along the O&A was bringing in approximately 700 to 900 tonnes of supplies per day. The Army required 1500 tonnes of supplies to be brought in per day, meaning that the Army was rapidly draining its stores. Just so that you know, Herman Haupt knew more about supplying an Army via rail than anyone else alive.
See also, Herman Haupt in his
Reminiscences. For instance, see pages 153-159.
According to John Tucker, the U.S. Army had "delivered" to Fortress Monroe by March 31st of 1862, approximately 121,500 men (presumably PFD), 14,592 animals, 1,224 wagons and ambulances and 44 batteries of artillery. (11 OR 3:53). How do you intend to supply that Army down the O&A?
In addition, you have strategic drain as you move, especially at this time, due to the insufficiencies in the cavalry arm, which requires more units to be siphoned off to cover your rail lines.
What you want to try to avoid is the situation which the U.S. Army faced at the end of '62 and into '63, in which they are stuck operating off of the RF&P line. This is why improvement of the O&A was such an important military priority in late '62 and in '63.
So, McClellan formulated the overall strategic conception which first settled on the Urbanna Plan, which was later modified/replaced with the Peninsula Plan after the Urbanna Plan was deemed to be unworkable (for wholly different reasons, of course).