- Joined
- Aug 17, 2011
- Location
- Birmingham, Alabama
Recent discussions inspired me to take a look at what was happening in slave states regarding the percentage of total population that were slaves. It is my observation that as the percentage of slaves in a slave State relative to total population drops, the probability that the State will flip to free increases. The political forces of anti-slavery simply overwhelm the political forces of slavery.
The result is this table of percentages. The columns are the percent slave of slave States to 1860, trendline estimates for 1870-1890, a figure indicating if the trend was an upward-the percentage of slaves were increasing(a positive number), decreasing(a negative number) and an evaluation of the increase or decrease the higher the number the greater the increase or decrease. A comparison to the average percentage of slaves in a slave State and a ranking based on the percentage of slaves in a slave State.
The spreadsheet is a work in progress but can be viewed at Link.
The result is this table of percentages. The columns are the percent slave of slave States to 1860, trendline estimates for 1870-1890, a figure indicating if the trend was an upward-the percentage of slaves were increasing(a positive number), decreasing(a negative number) and an evaluation of the increase or decrease the higher the number the greater the increase or decrease. A comparison to the average percentage of slaves in a slave State and a ranking based on the percentage of slaves in a slave State.
The spreadsheet is a work in progress but can be viewed at Link.
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