In this thread, I brought up the question of what would've happened had Ewell died at Gettysburg. My idea is about what would happen if, say, he was actually killed at Second Winchester, by the "spent bullet" that hit him there, or on July 1. What are your thoughts? Probably Culp's Hill would've went differently.
Thought this is an interesting question. I don't normally venture into the speculation of 'what ifs'. But the question raised made me think about who were the capable Southern Division commanders at the start of Gettysburg who might have capably filled the Corps command role in the event of Ewell's unavailability.
To begin. Following Jackson's death, I thought Ewell deserved at the time to take over Second Corps, even though he was previously untested at Corps command level. Thought Ewell earned his May 23 promotion on the basis of seniority of rank and for his performances as a division commander during Jackson's Valley Campaign in the previous year. (On May 30, A. P. Hill, who similarly had no prior Corps command experience, also got command of the newly established Third Corps).
On July 1, the reorganized Second Corps contained several able brigade commanders, including Gordon, Daniels, Doles and Ramseur. But none of these had experience in higher command roles – it was too big a leap in command responsibility to elevate any of them at this time to Corps command.
Without considering the possibility of transferring Division commanders from other Corps, the list of eligible Division commanders within the Second Corps on July 1 from which a possible substitute for Ewell could be considered were:
Jubal Early
Edward Johnson
Robert Rodes
Of these three Division commanders within Second Corps, only Early had sufficient prior Division command experience. Johnson had no prior Division command experience, and Rodes, as capable as he was, had only brief experience in acting command of a Division.
From within Second Corps thought Early was the most eligible replacement for Corps command because he previously performed capably as a field division commander and because he was resourceful, fearless and demonstrated a capacity for acting independently and with initiative. Early also had a proven ability of following Lee's orders, including discretionary ones (like at Fredericksburg).
It's worthwhile considering that if 'Old Jube', not Ewell, had command of Second Corps on July 1, whether the actions and outcomes might have been different on that day. In this regard, it's interesting to contrast Early's views/attitudes with Ewell's at the time. Early repeatedly urged Ewell to take the apparently unoccupied Culp's Hill with Johnson's division and was confident of taking Cemetery Hill if an immediate assault was launched by both Ewell's and Hill's corps and he pressed for this action with both Corps commanders. But Ewell was tentative and hesitated. Even when he received Lee's discretionary orders to take Cemetery Hill 'if practicable', Ewell chose not to make the assault. (That would not be the only time during war that Ewell seemingly became paralyzed and indecisive at crucial moments ).
One can only wonder what would have happened if Early commanded the Second Corps that day in these same circumstances.