- Aug 3, 2019
One of the issues in Brazil was that manumission was easier in Brazil than in the US and had been so for a good while. But the whole thing is probably unknowable, which ensures that any prediction about this is even more speculative than usual. The only thing we can reject pretty much out of hand is that slavery's end in the South was already underway by 1861. It clearly was not.It is hard to see. But it disappeared in other places, Brazil for example. I confess I don’t know all the particulars regarding emancipation in Brazil and other locales. But to believe slavery would not have ended at some point without a war is to suggest it would still be with us today without a war. And no one really believes that, do they?
I’ve heard different ideas about when it would have seen it’s natural death but the era of America’s expansion onto the world stage as an international power seems likely. So maybe 1890-1910 or so.
I digress. I went off in the weeds.