- Aug 3, 2019
As an aside, we know where the 1812 war hawks hailed from ...They could threaten war, threaten to withdraw Lyons, and threaten to end further British investment in the US and that is what they did. And it was enough. They could have recognized the Confederacy, but the 20th century demonstrated that would just led to a later war between two foreign entities. Neither country, the US nor the Confederacy, was going to honor any peace agreement in the west. They both would have created provocations.
And in the US, with the Confederates out of the country for an extended period, the abolitionist equal rights portion of the Republican Party becomes ever stronger.
While Britain certainly had enormous military power in that era, its doubtful that military intimidation of the Republican administration would have weakened its political standing in the US. It would have put the Virginians in particular, and entire Virginia immigration stream stretching across the middle south and the southern portion of the Midwest in an odd predicament. After Washington, Jefferson, Madison, Mason and Monroe had done so much to make the US free of British domination, the Confederacy would have been in the situation of inviting British intervention into US affairs. I don't see any segment of US opinion that would accept that dependence on Britain. On the contrary, I think that recognition and interference would opened some eyes in the US and unified the nation behind the Republicans. A national union party would have evolved even faster.